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With the Bank of Canada cutting interest rates for the first time in four long years, let’s recap what happened. There’s also a lot of confusion about variable and fixed mortgage rates. A 25 basis point cut by the Bank of Canada doesn’t mean fixed rates will go down by 0.25%. Fixed rates are influenced by something different than variable rates. Let’s look at that as well.

Bank of Canada Lowers Interest Rates in September 2024

In a much-anticipated move, the Bank of Canada announced a reduction in its key interest rate again in September 2024, and is now 4.25%. This decision is making waves across the country, affecting everyone from homeowners to business owners.

Why Has The Bank Of Canada Lowered Interest Rates? 

The central bank slashed its overnight rate by 25 basis points, bringing it down to 4.25%. This move aims to stimulate economic growth by making borrowing cheaper and encouraging spending.

This rate cut is a response to a sluggish economic recovery. Despite efforts to curb inflation, economic growth has been slower than anticipated. By lowering interest rates, the Bank of Canada hopes to inject some life into the economy, boosting spending and investment.

How Will This Impact Homeowners? 

If you have a mortgage or are planning to buy a home, this is good news. Lower interest rates mean cheaper borrowing costs. For those with variable-rate mortgages, monthly payments will decrease, providing some much-needed financial relief. If you’re shopping for a new mortgage, you might find more attractive fixed rates, making homeownership more affordable.

Business owners will also benefit from reduced borrowing costs. This could lead to increased investments in growth and expansion, potentially boosting employment and economic activity.

How Will The Interest Rate Cuts Affect The Economy? 

Cheaper loans and credit cards mean more disposable income for consumers. This can lead to an uptick in spending on big-ticket items like cars, home improvements, and vacations. Increased consumer spending is essential for economic growth, so this rate cut is likely to have a positive impact on the retail and service sectors.

The Bank of Canada’s rate cut is part of a broader strategy to rejuvenate the economy. While this move may spur growth, it’s important to keep an eye on inflation. The central bank will need to balance stimulating the economy with keeping inflation under control.

What Should You Do When The BOC Cuts Interest Rates? 

With lower interest rates, it’s a good time to review your financial plan. Consider refinancing high-interest debt to take advantage of lower rates. If you’ve been thinking about a major purchase or home renovation, now might be the time to act. However, it’s always wise to maintain a cushion for unexpected expenses and avoid over-leveraging yourself.

Stay tuned for future announcements from the Bank of Canada. This rate cut could be the beginning of a series of adjustments aimed at stabilizing the economy. Keeping informed will help you make savvy financial decisions and stay ahead of any changes.

The Bank of Canada’s interest rate cut in September 2024 is a significant move designed to boost economic activity. Whether you’re a homeowner, a business owner, or a consumer, understanding the impact of this change can help you navigate the evolving financial landscape.

How Variable Mortgage Rates Are Calculated

If you’re diving into the Canadian mortgage market, understanding how variable mortgage rates are calculated is a savvy move. It can feel a bit like deciphering a secret code, but once you get the hang of it, you’ll see it’s all about a few key factors working together.

Variable mortgage rates, as the name suggests, aren’t fixed. They can fluctuate based on the prime lending rate, which is influenced by the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy decisions. When the prime rate goes up or down, your variable rate can follow suit. But there’s more to the story.

Understanding Prime Rate

The prime rate is essentially the starting point for most variable-rate mortgages. Banks and lenders use this rate as a benchmark. When the Bank of Canada adjusts its overnight rate—a tool used to control inflation and economic stability—banks usually tweak their prime rates in response. So, if the Bank of Canada raises the overnight rate, your variable mortgage rate might go up, and if it lowers the rate, your mortgage could get cheaper.

What About The Spread?

The spread is the amount your lender adds to or subtracts from the prime rate to determine your mortgage rate. This can vary from one lender to another, and it’s influenced by several factors including your credit score, the type of mortgage, and market competition. For instance, if the prime rate is 2.5% and your lender’s spread is +0.5%, your variable mortgage rate would be 3.0%.

Factors Influencing The Spread

  1. Credit Score: Higher credit scores often lead to lower spreads because lenders see you as a lower risk.
  2. Loan-to-Value Ratio (LTV): If you’re borrowing a smaller percentage of your home’s value, you might get a better rate.
  3. Economic Conditions: In a booming economy, spreads might be higher due to increased demand for loans. Conversely, in a slower economy, lenders might offer lower spreads to attract borrowers.

Fixed vs. Variable: The Trade-Off

Opting for a variable rate means playing the long game. You might benefit from lower rates initially but also be prepared for potential rate hikes. Fixed rates offer stability, which some find comforting, but they can be higher than variable rates at the outset. It’s a balancing act between risk and reward.

How To Keep Tabs On Your Rate

It’s crucial to stay informed about economic trends and Bank of Canada announcements. These can give you a heads-up about potential rate changes. Many lenders also offer the option to convert a variable rate to a fixed rate if you want to lock in during uncertain times.

Making The Most Of Variable Rates

  • Regularly Review Your Mortgage: Keep an eye on your mortgage terms and rates. Refinancing might be beneficial if there’s a significant change in rates.
  • Consider Pre-Payment Options: Paying extra when rates are low can save you money in the long run and reduce your principal faster.
  • Stay Informed: Knowledge is power. Understanding how economic factors impact your mortgage can help you make informed decisions.

How Fixed Mortgage Rates Are Calculated

Ever wondered how fixed mortgage rates are determined in Canada? Fixed mortgage rates in Canada aren’t just pulled out of thin air. They’re influenced by a variety of factors. Understanding these can give you a little edge when navigating the mortgage landscape. Let’s dive into the key elements:

1. Bond Yields

The first piece of the puzzle is bond yields, particularly the yield on 5-year government bonds. Mortgage lenders keep a close eye on these because they’re a solid indicator of where fixed mortgage rates should be. When bond yields go up, fixed mortgage rates often follow suit. Conversely, when bond yields drop, you might see fixed mortgage rates dip too.

2. Lender Costs And Margins

Mortgage lenders need to cover their costs and make a profit. They consider operational costs, the cost of borrowing money themselves, and the competitive landscape. They add a margin to the bond yield to ensure they’re covering their expenses and earning a bit. This margin can vary depending on how competitive the market is.

3. Economic Conditions

The broader economic climate plays a big role too. If the economy is booming, interest rates might rise to keep inflation in check. If things slow down, rates might be lowered to encourage borrowing and spending. The Bank of Canada’s policies are crucial here, as they set the benchmark interest rate that influences borrowing costs across the country.

4. Inflation Rates

Inflation is another key factor. When inflation is high, lenders want to charge higher rates to ensure their returns aren’t eroded by rising prices. Conversely, low inflation often means lower fixed mortgage rates. Keeping an eye on inflation trends can give you a hint about where mortgage rates might be heading.

5. Market Competition

The mortgage market in Canada is competitive. Banks and other lenders are vying for your business. This competition can drive rates down. Special promotions, discounts, and negotiations can all influence the final rate you’re offered. So, don’t be afraid to shop around and negotiate.

The Process in Action

So, how does this all come together in practice? Let’s say bond yields are steady, the economy is humming along nicely, and inflation is under control. Lenders will look at these factors and set their fixed mortgage rates accordingly. They’ll add their margin to the bond yield and consider what competitors are offering. 

But let’s not forget, there’s also a bit of an art to it. Lenders are constantly adjusting rates based on market conditions, economic forecasts, and their own business strategies. This is why you might see slight variations in rates from one lender to another, even if they’re all working off the same basic economic data.

Tips For Homebuyers

If you’re in the market for a mortgage, keep these factors in mind:

  • Stay Informed: Keep an eye on bond yields, economic news, and inflation trends. This can give you a sense of where rates might be heading.
  • Shop Around: Different lenders can offer different rates and terms. Don’t settle for the first offer you get.
  • Negotiate: Don’t be afraid to ask for a better rate. Lenders want your business and might be willing to make concessions to get it.

By understanding how fixed mortgage rates are calculated in Canada, you’ll be better equipped to make smart decisions and potentially save yourself a good chunk of change.

Sean Cooper avatar on Loans Canada
Sean Cooper

Sean Cooper is the bestselling author of the book, Burn Your Mortgage: The Simple, Powerful Path to Financial Freedom for Canadians. He bought his first house when he was only 27 in Toronto and paid off his mortgage in just 3 years by age 30. An in-demand Personal Finance Journalist, Money Coach, and Speaker, his articles and blogs have been featured in publications such as the Toronto Star, Globe and Mail, Financial Post and MoneySense.

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